Experts gave AI only 10% odds on Millennium Problems—reality disagrees

A 2025 expert panel of 277 researchers gave AI only a 10% chance of solving a Millennium Prize Problem by 2027, with some saying 2045+. Recent progress suggests forecasters once again underestimated exponential AI gains.

2026-09-11 ~ 2026-09-11 · 3 related posts

• Experts Gave AI Only 10% Odds of Solving a Millennium Prize Problem by 2027 — haider1 · 2026-09-11
• 277 experts gave AI just 10% odds of cracking a Millennium Prize Problem by 2027 — haider1 · 2026-09-11
• Experts gave AI just 10% odds of solving a Millennium Problem by 2027 — reality disagreed — Tolopono · 2026-09-11