Experts gave AI just 10% odds of solving a Millennium Problem by 2027 — reality disagreed
Tolopono · reddit · 2026-09-11
A 2025 expert forecast (leap.forecastingresearch.org, wave2) estimated only a 10% chance that AI would solve or substantially assist in solving a Millennium Prize Problem by 2027, and just 20% by 2030. The poster notes that given OpenAI's released candidate proof of finite-time Navier-Stokes blowup, that forecast hasn't aged well.
Related event: AI Solves Millennium Problem Far Ahead of Expert Forecasts(4 posts)→
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