Near-exact cache matches cause 2-7x more wrong replies than the verified gray zone

Reasonable_Royal_621 · reddit · 2026-11-07

The CacheVerifier team validated its conformal risk control guarantee on real AmazonHelp and Comcast support tweets replayed in time order: 11 of 12 settings stayed under target.

The surprise was where errors come from. The common setup verifies only the gray zone and serves anything above cosine 0.97 directly — but those near-exact matches produced 2 to 7x more wrong replies per request than the entire verified gray zone. Short messages like "ok" or "any update?" look identical while the right reply depends on conversation context.

The fix: send every cache hit through the verifier with a single threshold. All 12 random-split settings held the per-request target, at roughly 2.5 extra verifier calls per 100 requests. Full writeup in section 8 on GitHub.

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