Polymarket puts just 10% odds on a US AI safety bill by end of 2026
Polymarket · x · 2026-11-06
Polymarket's "US Enacts AI Safety Bill?" market prices only 10-11% for federal passage by December 31, 2026, rising to 83% by June 30, 2027. Qualifying bills must impose release bans/mandatory federal review, training restrictions, usage restrictions, or human-in-the-loop requirements on AI developers. A related note: Delaware has proposed a new company type operated entirely by AI, shielding human owners from liability for many of the AI's actions.
Related event: Polymarket Bets Just ~10% on US AI Safety Bill Passing This Year(4 posts)→
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