Gary Marcus mocks OSS Capital chart projecting Anthropic revenue passing Alphabet by 2028

GaryMarcus · x · 2026-11-06

Gary Marcus shared and mocked an OSS Capital (Joseph Jacks) forecast chart claiming Anthropic's revenue will grow from $9B ARR (2025) to $2T by 2030, crossing Alphabet's $750B in mid-2028 — presented as "just a continuation of the curve," not a bull case.

Marcus called it possibly "the most flawed projection in history," pointing out the wildly distorted y-axis (a nonlinear scale jumping from $1B to $2.5T) that visually manufactures a crossover between curves of entirely different magnitudes.

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