Polymarket Bets Just ~10% Chance of US AI Safety Law This Year

Polymarket traders assign only about a 9–11% probability to the US passing a federal AI safety law by the end of 2026, though the odds rise to roughly 83% by mid-2027, reflecting low expectations for near-term federal AI legislation.

2026-11-05 ~ 2026-11-06 · 3 related posts

• Polymarket puts just 9% odds on the US enacting an AI safety bill — Polymarket · 2026-11-05
• Polymarket odds: only ~9% chance US enacts an AI safety bill by year-end — Polymarket · 2026-11-06

1 near-duplicate retellings: Polymarket