Miles Brundage cites METR: Anthropic will pack 4 months of progress into 2 before Congress

nitarshan · x · 2026-11-06

Former OpenAI policy lead Miles Brundage cited METR's risk report: capability growth on well-specified tasks as of Oct 2026 is likely 2x the Mar 2024–Oct 2025 pace (highly uncertain, 1.3x–3x). Extrapolating, Anthropic will make four months of usual progress in the two months before the next Congress. His takeaway: legislators should plan for near-immediate implementation and enforcement, not year-long rulemaking.

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