METR: Anthropic likely hit its 2x RSP acceleration threshold, maybe 3x, ~80% AI-driven
daveholtz · x · 2026-11-06
METR reports Anthropic has probably hit the 2x Responsible Scaling Policy acceleration threshold, possibly running as high as 3x, guessing 80% of the October 2026 acceleration is due to AI. Dave Holtz calls it important data but says the writeup and rollout could have framed the quantitative conclusions more cautiously given statistical and methodological uncertainty, and encourages readers to dig into how the estimates were obtained. He credits METR for publishing and Anthropic for cooperating.
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