Ajeya Cotra: redacted evidence undermines AI risk verification and safety cases

ajeya_cotra · x · 2026-11-06

AI safety researcher Ajeya Cotra laments that much of the underlying evidence in a recent report was redacted, arguing evidence transparency is essential for the world to assess loss-of-control risk in time.

Context: after a wave of misalignment incidents, OpenAI and Anthropic both reported slowing RL training for safety, fueling debate over pacing commitments and third-party auditors. Cotra argues we're putting the cart before the horse — the science of loss-of-control risk is nascent, companies make no standardized verifiable risk claims, alignment benchmarks are easily gamed by training, and even months-horizon risk can't be confidently bounded. Before verifying and auditing, she says, the evidence itself must be transparent.

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