Polymarket Odds Put Waymo Under 12 Cities by End of 2026 at 66%
Polymarket · x · 2026-09-12
Polymarket launched a market on how many cities Waymo will operate in by December 31, 2026, resolving on cities served via Waymo One or Uber:
- "Under 12 cities" trades at 66.1% implied probability, 12-15 cities at 25.1%, with 16+ under 10% combined;
- Total volume sits around $106K;
- Context: analysis cited claims Waymo was roughly 900% safer than human drivers across 25.3 million autonomous miles.
More from Embodied
- FoloToy's AI Passport toy sells out as buyers wait for shipment — ezshine · 2026-09-12
- RLWRLD Lands 5 CoRL 2026 Papers; Human-Video Pretraining Lifts VLA Success to 80.3% — chris_j_paxton · 2026-09-12
- Robotics Researcher Satirizes How to Fake a Robotics Paper Ahead of ICRA Deadline — chris_j_paxton · 2026-09-12
- Trust3R: ICML 2026 Paper Adds Evidential Uncertainty to Feed-Forward 3D Reconstruction — rsasaki0109 · 2026-09-12
- BlackBerry QNX: the overlooked 'Physical AI tollbooth' positioned for a decade-defining comeback — pdamodaran · 2026-09-12
- A Simulated Fruit Fly Tries to Solve a Rubik's Cube — Matthew Berman · 2026-09-12