Forecaster Moves Top-Expert AI Arrival Estimate Up to 2028
Forecaster Eli Lifland has moved his estimate for top-expert-level AI from 2034 up to 2028, and an AI Futures report assigns a 35-65% probability to AI capable of automating all white-collar work arriving before 2028.
2026-11-11 ~ 2026-11-11 · 2 related posts
- Episode 1: AI 2027 Team Moves Up Timeline: Intelligence Explosion May Come in 2027(2026-11-11, 35 posts)
- Episode 2: Forecaster Moves Top-Expert AI Arrival Estimate Up to 2028(2026-11-11, 2 posts)
- Episode 3: AI Risk Community Split Over Whether an Intelligence Explosion Hits Next Year(2026-11-11, 6 posts)
- Episode 4: Leaked AI Timeline Forecasts Cluster Around 2027-2028(2026-11-11, 2 posts)
- Top forecaster Eli Lifland moves expert-level AI timeline from 2034 to 2028, citing METR report — birchlse · 2026-11-11
- AI Futures report puts 35-65% odds on white-collar-automating AI arriving before 2028 — WendyPatriot · 2026-11-11