AI Futures report puts 35-65% odds on white-collar-automating AI arriving before 2028
WendyPatriot · x · 2026-11-11
The AI Futures report predicts a 35-65% chance that Top-Expert-Dominating AI (TED-AI) — systems that can automate all white-collar work — arrives before 2028, effectively placing half its Bayesian points on near-ASI by 2027. Commenters argue this is too generous and that a miss would force a major rethink of short-timelines views.
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