AI safety researchers clash over whether instrumental convergence predicts agentic risk

davidmanheim · x · 2026-11-05

A debate on the instrumental convergence thesis: MatthewJBar argues its biggest flaw is that it says almost nothing about how dangerous agentic AIs will be, since it's silent on whether they pursue goals cooperatively or destructively. David Manheim pushes back that some shared instrumental capabilities — general administrative capability, delegation — are so obviously relevant that people forget those insights weren't obvious 20 years ago, and they are dangerous.

Related event: AI Safety Researchers Debate Predictive Power of Instrumental Convergence(2 posts)→

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