Scott Alexander argues a united US with a year could likely crack one alignment approach

slatestarcodex · x · 2026-11-02

Scott Alexander continues the object-level debate with @ohabryka: if the US were fully united around solving alignment and actually smart about it, with 1+ years (vs the 6 months now) and near-superintelligent AIs one step short of the first one that could kill us from inside a box, he thinks it's fairly likely to solve at least one of: (1) good-enough mech interp to see what's going on inside models well enough that capabilities converge rather than diverge; (2) a way to control the "set of neurons" driving Claude's current answers to what-if questions.

Related event: AI safety community debates Plan C scenarios and Scott Alexander's p(doom) estimate(7 posts)→

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