AI Safety Community Debates Whether to Plan for 'Plan C' Scenarios

AI safety researchers are debating whether 'Plan C' scenarios deserve more planning, with ApriiSR citing AIFP forecasts suggesting human survival is more likely attributed to Plan C-style paths, while critics argue this involves a conditional probability fallacy.

2026-11-01 ~ 2026-11-01 · 3 related posts

• AIFP forecasters: humanity likelier saved by Plan C routes than a global pause — ApriiSR · 2026-11-01
• P(survival|Plan C) ≠ P(survival|do(Plan C)): a causal inference objection — quetzal_rainbow · 2026-11-01
• Alignment debate: should safety researchers pre-plan for the Plan C scenario? — davidmanheim · 2026-11-01