AI extinction-risk survey doubles; jessi_cata accepts 2x but flags definitional gap

jessi_cata · x · 2026-11-02

Discussing a new AI x-risk survey showing the share of believers roughly doubled from the previous one, jessicata says she accepts the 2x increase, but notes the gap between "extinction" and "extinction or similarly permanent and severe disempowerment" persists, and has no opinion on how this ratio shifted versus the last survey.

Related event: Survey Finds AI Researchers Commonly Estimate ~10% Extinction Risk(2 posts)→

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