2024 survey of AI researchers finds 10% extinction risk a normal estimate
NathanpmYoung · x · 2026-11-02
NathanpmYoung shares results from his team's new paper on the 2024 survey of AI researchers, noting that assigning roughly a 10% risk of human extinction from AI is a normal position among researchers. Responding to criticism, he says he welcomes it but finds such nuanced findings hard to compress into short tweets.
Related event: Survey Finds AI Researchers Commonly Estimate ~10% Extinction Risk(2 posts)→
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