Kimi 3.1 on Vera Rubin costs just 0.025 cents per million tokens, per TCO math

bookwormengr · x · 2026-10-28

bookwormengr ran the numbers on inference economics: on NVIDIA's Vera Rubin, Kimi 3.1 works out to 0.025 cents per million tokens of TCO — $1 of compute yields 45M tokens, roughly $90 worth of API-priced output, implying huge margins and room for price cuts. DeepSeek v4.1 Flash could see similar uplift from Grace Blackwell, from 1.6B to 4B tokens per dollar of TCO. The author argues frontier labs may stay wildly profitable through a compute glut. Quoted @tszzl is more bearish: frontier lab equity value is unknowable, and slowdowns or even nationalization are plausible.

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