Legal AI developer: 30-50% of French court rulings wouldn't survive appeal

IgorCarron · x · 2026-10-27

A developer building a legal AI tool observes that the core problem is judges' reasoning quality: many ignore major case law, interpret facts arbitrarily, build flawed causal links, and stretch legal tests to fit conclusions. He estimates 30-50% of first-instance and appeal rulings wouldn't withstand cassation review, and that the Cour de cassation itself invents law as convenient. AI struggles to keep up because it tries to rigorously predict an inherently non-rigorous system. Igor Carron shared it noting "50% is huge."

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