Ajeya Cotra: beliefs are forged in the haggling with your audience
NathanpmYoung · x · 2026-10-27
In the essay 'The art of the epistemic deal', Ajeya Cotra describes her core craft: haggling over minute wording in high-stakes documents — the HF report and Frontier Risk Report were products of this process. She argues against splitting 'arriving at correct beliefs' from 'Comms': most of her important beliefs were formed through explaining, hearing reactions, and adapting, making belief and communication inseparable.
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