binarybits: Lab insiders are right on capabilities, wrong on short-term societal impact
binarybits · x · 2026-10-17
In a discussion with @SilverVVulpes, binarybits argues that AI lab insiders have been truthful about capabilities continuing to improve rapidly, but have historically been mostly wrong about the near-term impact on the broader economy and society — a pattern he expects to continue into 2027. He's skeptical of calls for extreme worry, framing it as an impact-forecasting question rather than a capabilities question.
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