AlphaFold already won a Nobel; why do only 58% of Anthropic staff expect Claude to match it by 2027

tszzl · x · 2026-10-17

An internal Anthropic survey found 58% of staff expect Claude to make a Nobel-prize-level scientific discovery by 2027. rwkv (tszzl) argues the number is too conservative: AlphaFold made a Nobel-winning discovery back in 2018, and he claims OpenAI has already produced several Fields-medal-level results this year.

Related event: Debate Sparks Over Whether AI Can Win a Nobel Prize Within Three Years(2 posts)→

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