S-curves stacked: oecolamp and JoshPurtell debate hardware vs software takeoff
JoshPurtell · x · 2026-10-07
JoshPurtell and oecolamp debate hard takeoff: most S-curves are hardware-exogenous since big GPU updates absorb engineering effort (e.g. training bigger models); real exponential trends are stacked S-curves—slower, more manageable takeoffs. But during the H100-only era, software improvements clearly contributed a lot.
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