Schmidhuber: compute gets 10x cheaper every 5 years, 100,000x in 25 years

SchmidhuberAI · x · 2026-10-06

Schmidhuber reiterated his long-standing claim in a reply: compute cost drops roughly 10x every 5 years, implying it will be about 100,000x cheaper in 25 years. No new data given, but it's the core premise behind his long-term AI trajectory arguments.

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