Gary Marcus is the most accurate big name on AI prediction scoreboard: 11 of 11 correct
GaryMarcus · x · 2026-09-30
The aipredictionx scoreboard reports that Gary Marcus is currently the most accurate big name it tracks: 11 resolved AI predictions, all scored correct — including the million-dollar bet that AI would not outsmart any single human by end of 2025. The group he frequently fact-checks runs at 47% accuracy across 191 resolved calls.
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