Karpathy thinks in model generations: 2 years ahead is 8 generations away
chhaviyadav_ · x · 2026-09-19
Andrej Karpathy suggests thinking about AI progress in model generations rather than calendar time: each generation takes 3-4 months, and just 3 generations ago he was still writing code by hand. So when asked what happens in 2 years — about 8 generations later — he says he has no idea.
Related event: Karpathy: Thinking in Model Generations, Two Years Out Is Unpredictable(2 posts)→
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