Karpathy: Thinking in Model Generations, Two Years Out Is Unpredictable

Andrej Karpathy suggests measuring AI progress in model generations of 3-4 months each; since he hand-wrote code just three generations ago, he admits he cannot predict what things will look like eight generations (two years) from now.

2026-09-18 ~ 2026-09-19 · 2 related posts

• Karpathy: model generations last 3-4 months, so predicting 2 years out is hopeless — deedydas · 2026-09-18

1 near-duplicate retellings: chhaviyadav_