Narayanan revives p(doom) critique: vague fears laundered through quantification
code_star · x · 2026-09-19
Princeton professor Arvind Narayanan resurfaced his two-year-old deconstruction of p(doom) with Sayash Kapoor, arguing the concept's primary function is to launder vague, evidence-free intuitions and fears through a facade of quantification. The post reignites the debate over whether doom probabilities have any analytical value.
Related event: Princeton scholars renew critique of p(doom) as pseudo-quantification(2 posts)→
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