Polymarket puts 62% odds on Anthropic IPO by end of October 2026
Polymarket · x · 2026-09-13
Prediction market Polymarket is buzzing over an Anthropic IPO timeline
- The "Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026" contract trades at roughly a 62% implied probability, with about $800K in volume on that date.
- Odds for earlier windows are low (≤1% by Sep 30, 4% by Oct 15), climbing to 79–88% for mid-November through year-end — the market expects a listing between late October and December.
- Rules: if Anthropic is acquired by an already-public company, the market resolves No; resolution relies on official filings. Coverage of Houthis using Claude to vibecode guided-missile software has added to IPO speculation buzz.
Related event: Polymarket Bets on Anthropic IPO: 62% Chance by Late 2026(2 posts)→
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