AIRO Dashboard Forecasts AI Catastrophic Risk with Frontier Models

Forecasting Research launched AIRO, a dashboard where frontier models auto-generate weekly-updated AI risk forecasts rivaling expert forecasters; ensemble estimates put the probability of an AI catastrophe killing 800M+ people at 0.47% by 2030 and 12% by 2100.

2026-09-12 ~ 2026-09-12 · 4 related posts

• AIRO launches automated catastrophic AI risk forecasts, matching top human forecasters — soumitrashukla9 · 2026-09-12
• Automated forecasting system puts AI-caused catastrophe odds at 0.47% by 2030 — emollick · 2026-09-12
• AIRO launches: a weekly-updated dashboard of AI risk forecasts from frontier models — soumitrashukla9 · 2026-09-12
• Ensemble forecast pegs AI catastrophe (800M+ deaths) risk at 0.47% by 2030, 12% by 2100 — paulnovosad · 2026-09-12