Polymarket Puts About 1-in-4 Odds on OpenAI Declaring AGI This Year
After the Navier-Stokes breakthrough news, Polymarket's odds on OpenAI officially declaring AGI by end of 2026 rose from about 19% to roughly 23-24%, with volume exceeding $209,000, though the contract lacks a consensus AGI definition.
2026-09-07 ~ 2026-09-09 · 3 related posts
- Episode 1: Polymarket odds of OpenAI declaring AGI this year jump to 19% after GPT-6(2026-09-04, 3 posts)
- Episode 2: Polymarket Puts About 1-in-4 Odds on OpenAI Declaring AGI This Year(2026-09-07, 3 posts)
- Polymarket gives OpenAI declaring AGI this year just 19% odds despite AGI-era talk — Polymarket · 2026-09-07
- Polymarket Puts ~24% Odds on OpenAI Announcing AGI by Year-End Amid No Consensus Definition — Polymarket · 2026-09-08
- Polymarket Odds of OpenAI Declaring AGI by Year-End Hit 22% After Navier–Stokes Breakthrough — Polymarket · 2026-09-09