Polymarket Puts ~24% Odds on OpenAI Announcing AGI by Year-End Amid No Consensus Definition
Polymarket · x · 2026-09-08
Polymarket prices 24% odds that OpenAI officially announces AGI by year-end, with $209K traded. Altman and Brockman have called GPT-6 Astra the start of the AGI era with top FrontierMath and ARC-AGI-3 scores, but frame it as an internal milestone; agent-containment safety incidents and the lack of an AGI definition temper expectations.
Related event: Polymarket Puts About 1-in-4 Odds on OpenAI Declaring AGI This Year(3 posts)→
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