Claude远程劳动指数两月从18%飙至41%,推演2028年7月饱和
rubenhassid · x · 2026-11-11
rubenhassid extrapolated from Claude Fable 5.2's Remote Labor Index (RLI) score, which jumped from 18% to 41.3% in two months — RLI covering roughly a quarter of US jobs doable remotely.
The projection:
- 50%: Jan 2027 (range Jan–Mar);
- 80%: Dec 2027;
- 90% (near saturation): Jun 2028;
- Saturation: Jul 2028, range Nov 2027–Jun 2029, assuming a 91% scoring ceiling.
The attached scorecard shows Fable 5.2 leading Opus 5.5, GPT-6 Astra and Gemini 4 Carbon across the board: 64.9% on RoboDojo Sim, 76.3% on CyScenarioBench, 89.3% on OSWorld 2.1. The author calls it a fun projection, but if growth holds it implies "the end of remote working" by 2028.
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