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OpenAI's Secret Models: From Rumors to a Millennium Prize

Rumors of OpenAI's Bel and Astra models snowballed into reports of massive training runs, followed by claims that GPT-6 Astra would soon be obsolete as OpenAI revealed stronger internal models behind its Navier-Stokes proof.

2026-08-28 ~ 2026-09-10 · 5 episodes · 32 posts

Episode 1 · OpenAI's future model 'Bel' reportedly finishes pretraining in August (2026-08-28, 2 posts)

OpenAI has run unusually heavy pretraining since late 2025; a leak claims Sol finished in March, Astra in April/May, and the mysterious long-term model 'Bel' completed pretraining in August.

Episode 2 · OpenAI's Next-Gen Model Astra Reportedly Trained on Over 100K GPUs (2026-09-02, 10 posts)

OpenAI's next-generation model, internally codenamed Astra, has reportedly completed training at the Stargate site in Abilene, Texas, using over 100,000 GPUs across roughly two months of pretraining — a run Emad Mostaque reshared claims will be the first billion-dollar training run. Blogger imjustnewatai says Sam Altman confirmed the training is done and that Astra is OpenAI's first model significantly supervised by a previous-generation model during training. None of this is officially confirmed.

Confirmed

  • The Information reports OpenAI considered naming Astra 'GPT-6' but dropped the idea (m3, m10); m6 adds the name may narrow to 'GPT-5.7 Astra' or 'GPT-Astra', saving the true generational leap for a later codename Bel
  • Multiple posts (m2, m7, m9) agree on the scale: 100K+ GPUs, OpenAI's largest training run to date
  • Internal tester Lentils80 (relayed by @OkDisplay3159, m1) disclosed two checkpoints: ultima-alpha, a likely public release candidate, and vega-alpha, a cybersecurity-focused enterprise version

Unconfirmed

  • op7418 claims Astra is already deployed but not yet open, will offer 100% capacity to all paying users including Plus, with rollover reset credits — unverified
  • Long-horizon task demos (8-day runs, 1,600 sub-agents, a Xiaomi 17 Ultra case) come from secondhand accounts
  • haider1's claims of 10 research-level math/CS advances and OpenAI internal research-intern benchmark parity are opinion plus rumor; the $1B cost figure lacks an official source

Why it matters

  • If the 100K-GPU, $1B scale holds, Astra marks a new order of magnitude in training cost and validates Stargate's role
  • The old-model-supervises-training paradigm, if confirmed, would be a new scaling approach
  • Dropping the GPT-6 name shows naming itself has become part of OpenAI's expectation management
  • maksymandr's PostTrainBench Lite results look impressive but await independent verification

Episode 3 · OpenAI Researcher Says GPT-6 Astra Will Be Obsolete in Weeks (2026-09-04, 4 posts)

On September 4, OpenAI researcher roon said on X that the newly released GPT-6 Astra will be "obsolete" within weeks. The remark was widely relayed and seen as a rare candid statement from an OpenAI insider about the pace of model iteration—given how fast R&D is moving, any flagship release may only be a fleeting milestone. Several bloggers went further: the comment adds plausibility to earlier rumors of "a new round of large-scale pretraining at OpenAI" and "a new 10T-parameter model," suggesting OpenAI may have another, bigger flagship model held back for later this year; @markk even speculated about moves such as Grok 4.7 from competitors based on this. OpenAI has not officially responded or confirmed anything. Confirmed

  • roon himself posted on X the remark that Astra would be "obsolete within weeks" (relayed by @Tolopono and others with consistent content).
  • The remark continues roon's long-held view that "the pace of model iteration outstrips any current release."

Unconfirmed

  • The existence of a "10T new pre-trained model" and any release date this year are rumors with no official evidence.
  • Relay posts differ on Astra's ownership: most refer to OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra, while the conversation version relayed by @UltraRareAF refers to Google's Astra—a factual discrepancy that remains to be verified.
  • @markk's inference that Grok 4.7 is coming is personal speculation.

Why it matters

  • An internal researcher publicly downplaying the company's latest flagship may signal a more aggressive release cadence and reflects the frontier-lab norm of "obsolete upon release," which is relevant to model procurement and product planning.

Episode 4 · OpenAI reveals internal model behind Navier-Stokes breakthrough is significantly stronger than GPT-6 Astra (2026-09-09, 12 posts)

In announcing its solution to the Navier-Stokes millennium problem, OpenAI disclosed that the proof was produced by a group of agents using its next-generation internal model — significantly stronger than the publicly released GPT-6 Astra, which had launched just four days earlier — and that the model's training is still ongoing. The public-facing Astra is therefore not OpenAI's capability ceiling.

Confirmed

  • Per Axios, the model OpenAI used on Navier-Stokes is significantly more capable than the released GPT-6 Astra.
  • OpenAI's official wording: the proof was produced by agents using its next-generation model, significantly stronger than GPT-6 Astra; relayed by Omar Sanseviero of dair-ai.
  • Matthew Berman adds that Astra was released only four days prior, and that the next-gen model is still in training.
  • Polymarket, VraserX and others relayed the same official disclosure consistently.

Unconfirmed

  • A leak claims OpenAI restarted its largest frontier RL training run on August 28, and an internal checkpoint from that run solved the problem at a cost of millions of dollars; single-source, unverified.
  • Per a relay by r0ck3t23, unconfirmed reports say the internal system used 10,000 agents over 88 hours, and the model is unavailable to ordinary users.
  • haider1 and imjustnewatai relay rumors of a new pretraining model codenamed Fable, intended to surpass Astra.

Why it matters

  • kimmonismus notes OpenAI having stronger internal models is no secret, but the official "significantly stronger" phrasing is bold.
  • rohanpaulai estimates OpenAI Frontier Labs' internal models lead what the public can access by over a year.
  • VraserX argues this gap between the strongest internal and public models widens the perception gap between the public and frontier labs — public benchmarks and APIs may systematically understate OpenAI's true frontier capability.

Episode 5 · Report: OpenAI Training New Model That Beats Its Own GPT-6 Astra (2026-09-09, 4 posts)

Citing OpenAI's blog, users report a new internal model started training on August 28 and already surpasses GPT-6-Astra and Google's Astra on math benchmarks within days, fueling speculation that GPT-6.5 pretraining is underway.