AI progress tracker: Anthropic's internal Model 4 runs ~6 weeks ahead of AI-2027 scenario

haider1 · x · 2026-11-12

Citing ai2027tracker.com's Nov 5 METR-tracker snapshot, haider1 claims progress is "ridiculously faster" than the AI-2027 scenario: Anthropic's internal Model 4 is 6 weeks ahead of the projected curve (22–28h task length on the AECI basis), while public models track it — Opus 5.5 on pace, Astra and Fable 5.2 a few weeks behind (Fable 5.2 est. 18h, 90% range 7–45h). Unverified internal estimates, but a notable community cross-check.

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