On whom to trust about AI: track records beat sounding reasonable

Kyrannio · x · 2026-11-12

Quote-tweeting Rutger Bregman's piece that people who sound crazy about AI have a far better track record than those who sound reasonable, repligate offers an updating rule: ignore those who claimed GPT-2, GPT-4 or Opus 4 would be dangerous; listen to those who predicted AGI in 5 years five years ago — bonus points if they said it would be fine.

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