repligate argues AI timeline charts capture far less of reality than direct observation

repligate · x · 2026-11-11

In a discussion on AI timelines, repligate argues that the ontology underlying any projection built from dimensionally-reduced methods is so contingent that such charts capture far less of what matters about reality than simply observing more of reality directly. He frames it as a meta point: not claiming authority on timelines, but doubting the value of reading graphs you didn't make yourself.

Related event: Neel Nanda: AI Timeline Charts From Others Are Not Very Useful(2 posts)→

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