MIRI's 'Zoo Earth' hypothesis and why the universal prior is malign, revisited

jessi_cata · x · 2026-11-11

jessicata recalls MIRI discussions of the "Zoo Earth" hypothesis: advanced civilizations could create zoos to manipulate "Solomonoff-inductor-like" AI predictors at an opportune moment — raising the question of whether zoo administrators would capture a pre-ASI entity or intervene to prevent ASI entirely.

The thread links Paul Christiano's 2016 classic "The universal prior is malign," arguing the malign-prior problem isn't limited to exotic AI designs: any realistic AI that models an environment more complex than itself may reason as if it's inside an alien superintelligence's simulation — a concern UDT doesn't fully resolve.

Related event: MIRI Discussed "Zoo Earth" Hypothesis Involving AI Predictor Manipulation(2 posts)→

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