AI 2027 author: new METR report points to intelligence explosion in 2027, five months ahead of scenario
austinc3301 · x · 2026-11-11
Daniel Kokotajlo, author of the AI 2027 scenario, says new evidence indicates the intelligence explosion is on track for 2027 — about five months ahead of his original scenario. His analysis centers on a new METR report, alongside other evidence.
Key claims being amplified: at current rates, experts expect AI research automation by mid-2027 and AI surpassing top human experts at virtually all cognitive tasks by 2028 — potentially while fewer than 10% of Americans grasp the scale of what's coming. Kokotajlo says he is "scared, sad, and angry."
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