Hand-drawn AI timeline predicts open-source AI crosses closed-source capabilities around today
victormustar · x · 2026-11-07
victormustar shared a hand-drawn "vibes-based" AI timeline chart.
The closed-source curve (red) leads for years while the open-source curve (blue) closes the gap; the two cross right around the dashed "today" line. After the crossing, open-source keeps climbing steeply while closed-source flattens.
The chart crystallizes a popular community take: open-source models are about to overtake closed ones in capability — a good conversation starter about the real trajectory of the gap.
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