Bimodal skill-improvement distribution may explain the subjective AI speedup
Jsevillamol · x · 2026-11-06
Jsevillamol offers his explanation in the debate with TheDavidSJ: in scenario B, the flip to the A-saturated regime genuinely feels like a speedup.
Before the flip, for any skill AI is starting to pick up, improvement speed follows a bimodal distribution — some skills improve fast, others slowly. After it, there's a high expectation that AI will improve very fast at any new skill, which is where the subjective acceleration comes from. His interlocutor argues this is still just an artifact of task-suite choice.
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