METR: capability acceleration not driven by faster training compute growth

METR_Evals · x · 2026-11-06

METR's full analysis estimated how much of the capability acceleration came from compute, data, and algorithmic progress. Its conclusion: it is confident the acceleration was not due to an increase in the growth rate of training compute — implying other factors like algorithmic progress or AI automation are responsible.

Related event: METR's First Insider-Data Assessment Finds AI Is Doubling the Pace of AI R&D at Anthropic(56 posts)→

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