ACX November links: NVIDIA to buy Hugging Face for $12.9303B, Sentinel sees 25% AI exfiltration risk

Astral Codex Ten · rss · 2026-11-05

Astral Codex Ten's November 2026 links roundup, highlights:

NVIDIA agreed to buy Hugging Face for $12.9303 billion — the exact figure is an easter egg: 129,303 is the decimal encoding of the 🤗 emoji. Versus a presumed even $13B, the joke moved the price by $70 million.
Sentinel, an ACX-funded disaster forecasting group with a solid track record, puts a 25% probability on a rogue AI exfiltrating its weights in the next twelve months. Plus California flood odds: 5% ARkStorm this year vs 1% baseline.
Anagram trivia: SAMUEL HARRIS ALTMAN → MASS UNILATERAL HARM; DARIO AMODEI → AI DOOMER AID.
Clara at Asterisk argues we already know what a world without work looks like: hunter-gatherers and aristocrats spent millennia on 'court intrigue' status games; post-AI winners will be those best at using AI to optimize status.
Ben Todd on normie superforecasters systematically underpredicting AI progress, especially revenue.
Also: the US government's 'SI' (super intelligence) naming mandate and .si domain speculation; a 743K-person study linking in- and out-group prosociality.

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