Telling agents their token throughput in the prompt improves time forecasting

maksym_andr · x · 2026-11-04

New AgentTime result: adding a single line to the forecast prompt stating the model's throughput speed (from Artificial Analysis) noticeably improves time-forecasting quality for GPT and Muse. Models naturally underestimate their own speed, so making throughput explicit corrects the bias, and agents generally predict shorter periods as a result.

A counterintuitive, one-line prompt-engineering finding: explicit token speed in the prompt meaningfully improves how well agents forecast their own execution time.

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