SemiAnalysis's Dylan Patel: $11T AI capex by 2029, $7T of it debt; CoreWeave sold out

AccBalanced · x · 2026-11-04

Dylan Patel of SemiAnalysis projects $11 trillion of global AI capex by end-2029 — $5T cash/equity and $7T debt — with OpenAI+Anthropic hitting $600-700B combined ARR by end-2027. On supply, ClusterMAX tracked 323 cloud providers, reviewed 77, medallioned 19: CoreWeave is sold out for six months and Nebius demands a full year prepaid, while Oracle and Google keep climbing the ratings. US 10-year yield spikes are already roiling debt markets.

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