Meta paper: WM-Basin detects 79% of distilled LLMs from watermark traces in weights

rohanpaul_ai · x · 2026-10-30

A new Meta FAIR paper shows LLMs distilled from watermarked API outputs retain a persistent, key-specific geometric trace (a 'watermark basin') in their weights, readable from the copy's text alone. Unlike token-counting detectors that miss low-temperature copies, WM-Basin maps suspect outputs through a fixed probe model and tests gradient alignment with the watermark key. Across 1,200 distilled models (135M–8.2B params), it detects 79% at n-gram=1 (45% at n-gram=3) at a 0.1% false-positive rate, vs 29%/1.3% for token-level baselines. Quantization, light pruning, and RL post-training don't erase the trace, though more fine-tuning on clean data weakens it.

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