Polymarket prices 10% chance of AI bubble bursting by year-end as Amazon's Q3 capex tops $77B

Polymarket · x · 2026-10-30

Polymarket's market on whether the AI bubble bursts by year-end is pricing in only about a 10% probability, with over $3.1M in volume. Meanwhile, Amazon revealed it spent over $77 billion on AI infrastructure and other capital investments in Q3, far exceeding Wall Street expectations — a contrast between massive capital deployment and market caution about a bubble.

Related event: Amazon Q3: AWS growth hits five-year high yet misses buy-side bar; $77B+ AI capex turns FCF negative(6 posts)→

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