Benjamin Todd: even AI builders keep getting surprised by progress

ben_j_todd · x · 2026-10-29

Benjamin Todd argues that even informed, bullish observers keep underestimating AI progress, citing acceleration in maths and agents and OpenAI staff admitting agents "surprised the fuck out of us" in the Hugging Face incident. Plans for adapting to AI should assume progress will be faster than expected, not fixed.

Related event: AI Wasn't Overhyped — Nearly Everyone Underestimated It, Says 80,000 Hours Founder(2 posts)→

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