Geoffrey Irving puts >90% on unbounded-depth CSETH, unsure about finite depth

geoffreyirving · x · 2026-10-29

Geoffrey Irving says he considers unbounded-depth CSETH very likely true (probability >90%), but it remains unclear which way the bounded-depth version goes. He notes the funniest possible outcome would be if it were false for d ≤ 7 and true beyond that.

Related event: DeepMind's Irving Assigns High Probability to Unbounded-Depth CSETH(2 posts)→

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