Pedro Domingos predicts Anthropic could go bust by 2030 over $1T compute commitment

pmddomingos · x · 2026-10-28

AI researcher Pedro Domingos posted a bold prediction: Anthropic may go bust by 2030 despite having a solid user base, because AI will become far more efficient and cheaper, and Anthropic won't be able to meet the $1 trillion in compute spending it committed to pre-IPO. A pointed challenge to the sustainability of frontier labs' massive compute commitments.

Related event: Domingos Calls Anthropic Investment History's Biggest Gamble, Predicts Bankruptcy(2 posts)→

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